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Red60
334017.4
257715.1
314245.9
Blue33
21925.2
807510.9
56247.9
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions894502060801001201401606033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+25Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave0
4Coral scored#1
19Coral points6
19Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +12
6Coral scored#5
23Coral points19
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
37Total teleop25
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#1
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
60Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.91.3
45.043.7
Auto9.4
Teleop31.9
End4.6
red by 20.6
219
#16
25.21.0
25.324.3
Auto3.8
Teleop16.3
End5.1
Second
3340
#20
17.41.3
14.213.0
Auto3.6
Teleop12.2
End1.5
red by 6.5
8075
#15
10.91.0
8.97.9
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End2.3
Third
2577
#24
15.11.3
15.213.9
Auto4.2
Teleop10.6
End0.3
red by 7.2
5624
#33
7.91.0
9.78.8
Auto1.2
Teleop6.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned16%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsMissed