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Red96
901540.1
334017.4
19325.4
Blue86
1036611.2
314245.9
436119.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80808590959686

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+22Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave6
4Coral scored#2
19Coral points10
22Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +16
14Coral scored#13
50Coral points46
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
12Processor points0
8Net points8
20Algae points8
70Total teleop54
Reef
5L4#5
7L3#4
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
96Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.12.0
34.036.0
Auto9.9
Teleop28.8
End1.4
blue by 5.8
45.91.0
43.744.7
Auto9.4
Teleop31.9
End4.6
Second
193
#27
25.42.0
21.823.7
Auto3.9
Teleop20.2
End1.3
red by 6.0
19.41.0
14.315.3
Auto4.3
Teleop9.1
End5.9
Third
3340
#20
17.42.0
13.014.9
Auto3.6
Teleop12.2
End1.5
red by 6.2
11.21.0
10.211.2
Auto1.3
Teleop7.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsEarned