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Qual 602025 FMA District Mount Olive Event
Red100
5632.6
465325.9
22237.1
Blue46
22328.2
106008.2
56247.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11142010015020010046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+44Teleop
+42Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave6
3Coral scored#0
14Coral points0
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +27
10Coral scored#7
37Coral points26
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
12Processor points0
12Net points8
24Algae points8
61Total teleop34
Reef
6L4#2
2L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
12Foul points0
100Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#18
37.11.2
39.5→38.3
Auto4.3
Teleop25.8
End6.9
red by 8.8
223
#11
28.20.8
26.9→26.0
Auto4.9
Teleop19.3
End4.0
Second
56
#14
32.61.2
31.8→30.7
Auto5.7
Teleop27.1
End-0.3
red by 24.4
10600
#31
8.20.8
11.6→10.7
Auto1.6
Teleop4.1
End2.5
Third
4653
#8
25.91.2
24.8→23.7
Auto7.7
Teleop13.7
End4.5
red by 18.0
5624
#33
7.90.8
8.8→7.9
Auto1.2
Teleop6.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed