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Red75
686014.3
257715.1
55532.6
Blue112
162619.0
10342.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6277204010012075112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
Teleop+9
Endgame+9
Fouls+37
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave6
3Coral scored#0
17Coral points0
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +26
8Coral scored#16
30Coral points58
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
6Processor points0
8Net points12
14Algae points12
44Total teleop70
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#6
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
2Foul points30
75Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
555
#9
32.61.2
30.131.3
Auto8.9
Teleop20.3
End3.4
blue by 10.2
103
#4
42.80.2
40.140.3
Auto5.6
Teleop34.4
End2.8
Second
2577
#24
15.11.2
13.915.1
Auto4.2
Teleop10.6
End0.3
blue by 3.9
1626
#32
19.00.2
16.316.5
Auto4.3
Teleop13.1
End1.6
Third
6860
#17
14.31.3
13.915.2
Auto3.6
Teleop8.7
End2.0
red by 5.0
9.30.2
11.411.6
Auto2.7
Teleop6.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed