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Qual 582025 FMA District Mount Olive Event
Red104
436119.4
1153.6
43016.0
Blue77
465219.1
4116.1
599225.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions896120408010012014010477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+5Teleop
+17Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +2
13Coral scored#15
48Coral points54
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
62Total teleop64
Reef
8L4#6
3L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#19
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
10Foul points0
104Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#1
53.60.5
50.9→51.3
Auto10.1
Teleop35.3
End8.3
red by 28.2
5992
#21
25.40.8
23.1→24.0
Auto3.2
Teleop21.8
End0.5
Second
4361
#7
19.40.5
13.8→14.3
Auto4.3
Teleop9.1
End5.9
red by 0.3
4652
#28
19.10.8
21.2→22.1
Auto3.2
Teleop16.0
End-0.2
Third
430
#29
16.00.5
12.1→12.6
Auto4.0
Teleop10.7
End1.3
blue by 0.1
41
#23
16.10.8
14.3→15.1
Auto4.1
Teleop9.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned8%Barge oddsMissed