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Red71
127922.8
363732.6
43016.0
Blue88
851344.9
686014.3
807510.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71670501001502007188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+3
Endgame+11
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +4
11Coral scored#11
38Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
56Total teleop52
Reef
4L4#7
2L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points6
71Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3637
#12
32.60.5
30.230.7
Auto4.9
Teleop22.1
End5.6
blue by 12.3
44.91.6
38.840.5
Auto9.3
Teleop29.8
End5.8
Second
1279
#10
22.80.5
22.122.6
Auto5.0
Teleop16.0
End1.8
red by 8.5
6860
#17
14.31.6
15.216.9
Auto3.6
Teleop8.7
End2.0
Third
430
#29
16.00.5
12.613.1
Auto4.0
Teleop10.7
End1.3
red by 5.1
8075
#15
10.91.6
7.99.6
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsEarned