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Red86
4116.1
811725.1
55532.6
Blue34
56247.9
1036611.2
257715.1
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions842902040601001201401608634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+50Teleop
+52Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave6
3Coral scored#0
14Coral points0
20Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +36
13Coral scored#5
46Coral points18
0Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
0Processor points0
16Net points8
16Algae points8
62Total teleop26
Reef
7L4#2
3L3#1
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
0Foul points0
86Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
555
#9
32.61.2
31.332.5
Auto8.9
Teleop20.3
End3.4
red by 17.5
2577
#24
15.10.0
15.115.1
Auto4.2
Teleop10.6
End0.3
Second
8117
#13
25.11.2
23.925.0
Auto4.2
Teleop19.9
End1.0
red by 13.9
11.20.0
11.211.2
Auto1.3
Teleop7.7
End2.2
Third
41
#23
16.11.3
15.116.4
Auto4.1
Teleop9.7
End2.4
red by 8.2
5624
#33
7.90.0
7.97.9
Auto1.2
Teleop6.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsMissed11%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed7%Barge oddsMissed