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Red47
465219.1
22237.1
Blue67
69457.0
314245.9
862813.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions807002040601001201404767

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+24
Endgame+26
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +17
6Coral scored#10
20Coral points35
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
28Total teleop45
Reef
2L4#6
2L3#5
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
6Foul points0
47Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#18
37.12.2
38.336.1
Auto4.3
Teleop25.8
End6.9
blue by 8.8
45.90.2
44.744.9
Auto9.4
Teleop31.9
End4.6
Second
4652
#28
19.12.2
21.419.2
Auto3.2
Teleop16.0
End-0.2
red by 5.8
8628
#19
13.30.2
13.213.3
Auto2.6
Teleop9.3
End1.4
Third
9.32.2
11.69.3
Auto2.7
Teleop6.2
End0.4
red by 2.3
6945
#22
7.00.2
6.97.0
Auto2.5
Teleop3.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed