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Red70
10342.8
60169.4
19325.4
Blue77
22328.2
127922.8
21925.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8080506070901001101207077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+3Teleop
Endgame+7
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +9
11Coral scored#8
41Coral points30
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
6Processor points12
8Net points4
14Algae points16
55Total teleop46
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#3
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points0
70Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
#4
42.80.3
40.340.0
Auto5.6
Teleop34.4
End2.8
red by 14.6
223
#11
28.20.3
26.026.3
Auto4.9
Teleop19.3
End4.0
Second
193
#27
25.40.3
23.723.5
Auto3.9
Teleop20.2
End1.3
red by 0.2
219
#16
25.20.3
24.925.2
Auto3.8
Teleop16.3
End5.1
Third
6016
#30
9.40.3
9.69.4
Auto0.9
Teleop6.5
End2.0
blue by 13.5
1279
#10
22.80.3
22.622.9
Auto5.0
Teleop16.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsEarned