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Red94
807510.9
363732.6
901540.1
Blue69
599225.4
465325.9
858818.3
60%Model gave it40%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85740501001509469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+23Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave3
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points13
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +20
15Coral scored#9
55Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
69Total teleop49
Reef
7L4#3
4L3#5
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
94Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.11.3
36.037.3
Auto9.9
Teleop28.8
End1.4
red by 14.2
25.90.3
23.723.9
Auto7.7
Teleop13.7
End4.5
Second
3637
#12
32.61.3
30.732.0
Auto4.9
Teleop22.1
End5.6
red by 7.2
5992
#21
25.40.3
24.524.8
Auto3.2
Teleop21.8
End0.5
Third
8075
#15
10.91.3
9.610.9
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End2.3
blue by 7.4
8588
#25
18.30.3
17.017.3
Auto4.7
Teleop11.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed