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Red80
334017.4
4116.1
1153.6
Blue16
686014.3
457318.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions984702060801201401608016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+54Teleop
+66Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave6
2Coral scored#0
12Coral points0
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +48
7Coral scored#1
26Coral points4
3Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
18Processor points0
8Net points0
26Algae points0
52Total teleop4
Reef
4L4#0
2L3#0
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
14Game pieces#1
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +64
0Foul points2
80Total score16

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#1
53.60.3
53.052.6
Auto10.1
Teleop35.3
End8.3
red by 35.2
4573
#26
18.42.5
20.818.2
Auto4.5
Teleop12.6
End1.3
Second
3340
#20
17.40.3
14.914.6
Auto3.6
Teleop12.2
End1.5
red by 3.0
6860
#17
14.32.5
16.914.3
Auto3.6
Teleop8.7
End2.0
Third
41
#23
16.10.3
16.416.1
Auto4.1
Teleop9.7
End2.4
red by 7.9
8.22.5
10.78.2
Auto1.6
Teleop4.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed