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Red42
22328.2
457318.4
162619.0
Blue60
22237.1
862813.3
21925.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6970506080904260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+6
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +9
6Coral scored#8
23Coral points28
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
0Processor points0
8Net points12
8Algae points12
31Total teleop40
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
42Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
223
#11
28.22.1
21.019.0
Auto4.9
Teleop19.3
End4.0
blue by 8.8
222
#18
37.10.2
27.127.0
Auto4.3
Teleop25.8
End6.9
Second
1626
#32
19.02.1
18.416.4
Auto4.3
Teleop13.1
End1.6
blue by 6.2
219
#16
25.20.2
22.021.9
Auto3.8
Teleop16.3
End5.1
Third
4573
#26
18.42.1
21.019.0
Auto4.5
Teleop12.6
End1.3
red by 5.0
8628
#19
13.30.2
12.312.2
Auto2.6
Teleop9.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsEarned