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Red68
1153.6
363732.6
Blue91
43016.0
19325.4
314245.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7865020401001201406891

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+33
Endgame+17
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +13
0Leave0
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points19
6Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +20
9Coral scored#11
32Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
6Processor points6
8Net points20
14Algae points26
46Total teleop66
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#4
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#21
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points6
68Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#1
53.60.1
29.829.8
Auto10.1
Teleop35.3
End8.3
red by 7.7
45.92.9
28.631.5
Auto9.4
Teleop31.9
End4.6
Second
3637
#12
32.60.1
24.224.1
Auto4.9
Teleop22.1
End5.6
red by 7.2
193
#27
25.42.9
17.920.8
Auto3.9
Teleop20.2
End1.3
Third
8.20.1
14.614.6
Auto1.6
Teleop4.1
End2.5
blue by 7.8
430
#29
16.02.9
12.615.5
Auto4.0
Teleop10.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed