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Red90
465325.9
10342.8
127922.8
Blue38
599225.4
5632.6
257715.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions986202040801201401609038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+26Teleop
+40Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +16
11Coral scored#6
38Coral points20
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
46Total teleop30
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#9
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
12Foul points0
90Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
#4
42.80.7
38.938.2
Auto5.6
Teleop34.4
End2.8
red by 10.2
56
#14
32.62.4
22.520.1
Auto5.7
Teleop27.1
End-0.3
Second
25.90.7
22.021.3
Auto7.7
Teleop13.7
End4.5
red by 0.5
5992
#21
25.42.4
17.214.8
Auto3.2
Teleop21.8
End0.5
Third
1279
#10
22.80.7
23.322.7
Auto5.0
Teleop16.0
End1.8
red by 7.7
2577
#24
15.12.4
19.517.2
Auto4.2
Teleop10.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed