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Red116
851344.9
43016.0
1153.6
Blue118
334017.4
10342.8
901540.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1231046080140160180200116118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+12
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points14
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +12
17Coral scored#20
61Coral points71
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
79Total teleop91
Reef
6L4#9
8L3#6
6L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#27
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
116Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#1
53.60.1
52.252.4
Auto10.1
Teleop35.3
End8.3
red by 10.8
103
#4
42.80.5
41.041.6
Auto5.6
Teleop34.4
End2.8
Second
44.90.1
43.543.7
Auto9.3
Teleop29.8
End5.8
red by 4.8
40.10.5
38.338.8
Auto9.9
Teleop28.8
End1.4
Third
430
#29
16.00.1
14.614.7
Auto4.0
Teleop10.7
End1.3
blue by 1.4
3340
#20
17.40.5
15.616.1
Auto3.6
Teleop12.2
End1.5