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Red58
465325.9
22328.2
19325.4
Blue118
22237.1
858818.3
314245.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions831125010015058118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+52
Endgame+64
Fouls+60
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave3
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points16
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +49
7Coral scored#15
24Coral points55
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
34Total teleop83
Reef
4L4#7
2L3#5
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +60
4Foul points0
58Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
223
#11
28.20.6
28.828.2
Auto4.9
Teleop19.3
End4.0
blue by 17.6
45.90.4
45.345.7
Auto9.4
Teleop31.9
End4.6
Second
25.90.6
26.525.9
Auto7.7
Teleop13.7
End4.5
blue by 11.2
222
#18
37.10.4
36.536.9
Auto4.3
Teleop25.8
End6.9
Third
193
#27
25.40.6
26.025.4
Auto3.9
Teleop20.2
End1.3
red by 7.1
8588
#25
18.30.4
17.718.1
Auto4.7
Teleop11.5
End2.1