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Red86
851344.9
43016.0
1153.6
Blue0
22237.1
858818.3
314245.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125109050100150200860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+20
Endgame+22
+86Fouls
AutonomousBlue +13
6Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
6Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +7
12Coral scored#11
42Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
6Processor points6
12Net points20
18Algae points26
60Total teleop67
Reef
3L4#6
4L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +86
6Foul points-102
86Total score0

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#1
53.60.7
53.052.2
Auto10.1
Teleop35.3
End8.3
red by 7.7
3142
#6DQ
45.90.1
45.345.4
Auto9.4
Teleop31.9
End4.6
Second
44.90.7
44.343.5
Auto9.3
Teleop29.8
End5.8
red by 7.8
222
#18DQ
37.10.1
36.636.6
Auto4.3
Teleop25.8
End6.9
Third
430
#29
16.00.7
15.314.6
Auto4.0
Teleop10.7
End1.3
blue by 2.3
8588
#25DQ
18.30.1
17.817.8
Auto4.7
Teleop11.5
End2.1