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Red138
334017.4
10342.8
901540.1
Blue120
465325.9
22328.2
19325.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10579204060120140160138120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+32Teleop
+20Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +22
20Coral scored#16
73Coral points59
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#5
12Processor points12
28Net points20
40Algae points32
113Total teleop91
Reef
6L4#6
10L3#5
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +12
6Cage & park18
6Total endgame18
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points2
138Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
#4
42.81.0
40.041.0
Auto5.6
Teleop34.4
End2.8
red by 14.6
223
#11
28.20.9
27.028.0
Auto4.9
Teleop19.3
End4.0
Second
40.11.0
37.338.3
Auto9.9
Teleop28.8
End1.4
red by 14.2
25.90.9
24.725.6
Auto7.7
Teleop13.7
End4.5
Third
3340
#20
17.41.0
14.615.6
Auto3.6
Teleop12.2
End1.5
blue by 8.0
193
#27
25.40.9
24.225.1
Auto3.9
Teleop20.2
End1.3