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Red51
2521.6
871411.8
911617.8
Blue95
331451.7
20422.0
543812.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68940204060801201401605195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+32
Endgame+56
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave0
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points23
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +18
5Coral scored#7
18Coral points26
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
28Total teleop46
Reef
1L4#5
2L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +24
2Cage & park26
2Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
12Foul points0
51Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#15
21.62.3
25.823.5
Auto3.9
Teleop16.4
End1.3
blue by 30.1
51.71.0
36.437.5
Auto13.3
Teleop30.7
End7.8
Second
9116
#21
17.82.3
21.619.3
Auto4.7
Teleop11.9
End1.2
blue by 4.2
204
#8
22.01.0
20.621.7
Auto4.4
Teleop11.5
End6.1
Third
8714
#20
11.81.4
12.210.9
Auto4.2
Teleop5.9
End1.8
blue by 0.2
5438
#18
12.01.7
22.324.0
Auto2.6
Teleop7.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsEarned