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Red66
910016.3
259052.2
562411.6
Blue102
689715.8
48616.1
192357.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7610505015020066102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+27
Teleop+42
Endgame+30
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +27
3Leave0
0Coral scored#6
0Coral points30
3Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +15
10Coral scored#14
35Coral points52
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
6Processor points0
8Net points12
14Algae points12
49Total teleop64
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#7
1L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#23
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points6
66Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.20.5
43.643.1
Auto12.0
Teleop31.8
End8.4
blue by 4.9
57.10.2
48.248.4
Auto18.4
Teleop38.6
End0.2
Second
9100
#25
16.30.8
18.818.0
Auto2.9
Teleop10.5
End2.8
red by 0.2
486
#23
16.10.3
21.822.2
Auto3.4
Teleop10.8
End1.9
Third
5624
#17
11.60.5
7.97.5
Auto2.0
Teleop9.1
End0.5
blue by 4.3
6897
#19
15.80.3
20.120.4
Auto5.4
Teleop10.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsEarned