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Red44
566617.9
249525.0
Blue111
10222.4
22333.5
167645.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6210705015020044111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+61
Endgame+63
Fouls+67
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave0
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points19
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +51
6Coral scored#12
21Coral points44
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#5
6Processor points18
4Net points20
10Algae points38
31Total teleop82
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#6
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +67
0Foul points4
44Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2495
#14
25.01.7
28.226.4
Auto3.9
Teleop20.7
End0.4
blue by 20.3
45.31.8
38.039.8
Auto11.7
Teleop30.0
End3.6
Second
5666
#11
17.91.7
20.318.6
Auto3.4
Teleop13.0
End1.5
blue by 15.7
223
#6
33.51.1
28.229.3
Auto5.8
Teleop24.2
End3.5
Third
5.21.0
11.210.1
Auto2.1
Teleop2.2
End0.9
blue by 17.2
102
#13
22.41.8
24.726.5
Auto4.0
Teleop17.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed