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Red72
334015.6
29326.7
1017010.6
Blue30
573213.5
75220.7
219113.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63612040801007230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+12Teleop
+24Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +15
6Coral scored#2
21Coral points8
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
6Processor points0
0Net points4
6Algae points4
27Total teleop12
Reef
3L4#2
1L3#1
2L2#0
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#5
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
20Foul points2
72Total score30

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
293
#7
26.70.0
24.424.4
Auto7.8
Teleop16.1
End2.9
red by 6.0
752
#16
20.73.3
16.012.7
Auto6.1
Teleop11.7
End3.0
Second
15.60.0
17.417.4
Auto3.5
Teleop6.6
End5.6
red by 2.1
2191
#24
13.53.3
21.818.6
Auto4.4
Teleop6.5
End2.7
Third
10.60.0
10.010.0
Auto3.6
Teleop5.0
End2.0
blue by 2.9
5732
#27
13.53.3
19.716.4
Auto1.9
Teleop9.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed