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Red87
83443.2
910016.3
689715.8
Blue74
573213.5
249525.0
2521.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79672040601001208774

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+9Teleop
+19Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
3Leave3
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points6
17Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +1
11Coral scored#11
38Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
56Total teleop55
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#4
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#15
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points6
87Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#4
43.22.2
33.135.2
Auto11.4
Teleop23.9
End8.0
red by 18.3
2495
#14
25.01.0
23.524.5
Auto3.9
Teleop20.7
End0.4
Second
9100
#25
16.32.2
16.418.6
Auto2.9
Teleop10.5
End2.8
blue by 5.3
25
#15
21.61.0
20.121.0
Auto3.9
Teleop16.4
End1.3
Third
6897
#19
15.82.2
18.020.1
Auto5.4
Teleop10.3
End0.2
red by 2.3
5732
#27
13.51.0
15.816.8
Auto1.9
Teleop9.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsEarned