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Red139
192357.1
334015.6
568423.4
Blue43
48616.1
871411.8
566617.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9856020408012014013943

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+58Teleop
+66Endgame
+96Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
3Leave0
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points9
33Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +34
9Coral scored#5
34Coral points18
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
62Total teleop28
Reef
5L4#2
6L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#9
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +96
30Foul points0
139Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.11.3
46.748.0
Auto18.4
Teleop38.6
End0.2
red by 39.2
5666
#11
17.92.1
16.914.8
Auto3.4
Teleop13.0
End1.5
Second
5684
#10
23.41.3
18.019.3
Auto5.8
Teleop11.3
End6.4
red by 7.3
486
#23
16.12.1
18.716.6
Auto3.4
Teleop10.8
End1.9
Third
15.61.3
14.315.6
Auto3.5
Teleop6.6
End5.6
red by 3.8
8714
#20
11.81.3
14.212.9
Auto4.2
Teleop5.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsMissed