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Red20
870710.8
20422.0
Blue97
911617.8
259052.2
8718.8
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions389302060801201402097

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+57
Endgame+69
Fouls+77
AutonomousBlue +20
0Leave0
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points26
6Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +37
3Coral scored#8
10Coral points29
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
0Processor points6
0Net points12
0Algae points18
10Total teleop47
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#4
0L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +77
0Foul points8
20Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
204
#8
22.01.5
19.418.0
Auto4.4
Teleop11.5
End6.1
blue by 30.2
52.20.8
43.244.0
Auto12.0
Teleop31.8
End8.4
Second
8707
#26
10.82.4
12.610.2
Auto1.5
Teleop7.5
End1.8
blue by 8.0
87
#22
18.80.8
15.015.8
Auto4.3
Teleop11.8
End2.7
Third
5.21.5
9.88.4
Auto2.1
Teleop2.2
End0.9
blue by 12.6
9116
#21
17.81.3
19.020.3
Auto4.7
Teleop11.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed61%Barge oddsEarned