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Red82
568423.4
689715.8
331451.7
Blue98
573213.5
192357.1
910016.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86910501502008298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+28
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousRed +2
9Leave6
4Coral scored#4
20Coral points21
29Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +30
7Coral scored#11
25Coral points41
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
39Total teleop69
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#21
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
82Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.70.1
41.341.4
Auto13.3
Teleop30.7
End7.8
blue by 5.4
57.11.0
48.049.0
Auto18.4
Teleop38.6
End0.2
Second
5684
#10
23.40.1
19.319.4
Auto5.8
Teleop11.3
End6.4
red by 7.2
9100
#25
16.31.6
18.620.2
Auto2.9
Teleop10.5
End2.8
Third
6897
#19
15.80.1
20.120.3
Auto5.4
Teleop10.3
End0.2
red by 2.3
5732
#27
13.51.6
16.818.4
Auto1.9
Teleop9.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsMissed