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Red35
911617.8
543812.0
Blue70
566617.9
10222.4
334015.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505802040801001203570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+25
Endgame+35
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +22
3Coral scored#10
12Coral points36
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
0Processor points6
8Net points0
8Algae points6
20Total teleop42
Reef
1L4#5
2L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
2Foul points2
35Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9116
#21
17.81.7
22.821.1
Auto4.7
Teleop11.9
End1.2
blue by 4.6
102
#13
22.41.8
21.122.9
Auto4.0
Teleop17.3
End1.1
Second
5438
#18
12.01.7
17.615.9
Auto2.6
Teleop7.9
End1.5
blue by 5.9
5666
#11
17.91.8
14.816.7
Auto3.4
Teleop13.0
End1.5
Third
5.21.0
8.07.0
Auto2.1
Teleop2.2
End0.9
blue by 10.4
15.61.1
15.616.7
Auto3.5
Teleop6.6
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsEarned