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Red86
219113.5
83443.2
167645.3
Blue117
22333.5
259052.2
249525.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions931022040608012014016018086117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
Teleop+51
Endgame+49
Fouls+31
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave6
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points3
27Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +69
5Coral scored#18
19Coral points64
1Processor algae#3
0Net algae#3
6Processor points18
0Net points12
6Algae points30
25Total teleop94
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#6
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#25
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
18Foul points0
86Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.32.4
39.036.6
Auto11.7
Teleop30.0
End3.6
blue by 7.0
52.21.4
43.645.0
Auto12.0
Teleop31.8
End8.4
Second
834
#4
43.22.4
35.232.9
Auto11.4
Teleop23.9
End8.0
red by 9.7
223
#6
33.51.4
27.729.1
Auto5.8
Teleop24.2
End3.5
Third
2191
#24
13.52.4
15.112.7
Auto4.4
Teleop6.5
End2.7
blue by 11.4
2495
#14
25.02.4
24.526.8
Auto3.9
Teleop20.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned65%Barge oddsEarned