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Red85
259052.2
871411.8
689715.8
Blue67
8718.8
167645.3
10222.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions898970758085951008567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+4
+6Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave0
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points16
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +14
8Coral scored#11
27Coral points39
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
6Processor points0
0Net points8
6Algae points8
33Total teleop47
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#6
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#16
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
12Foul points0
85Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.20.5
46.445.9
Auto12.0
Teleop31.8
End8.4
red by 7.0
45.31.1
41.340.2
Auto11.7
Teleop30.0
End3.6
Second
6897
#19
15.80.8
18.818.1
Auto5.4
Teleop10.3
End0.2
blue by 6.6
102
#13
22.41.1
19.218.2
Auto4.0
Teleop17.3
End1.1
Third
8714
#20
11.80.5
12.111.6
Auto4.2
Teleop5.9
End1.8
blue by 7.0
87
#22
18.80.7
14.313.6
Auto4.3
Teleop11.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsMissed