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Red52
2521.6
568423.4
334015.6
Blue74
22333.5
29326.7
562411.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions606702040801001205274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+22
Endgame+10
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points7
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +18
6Coral scored#9
20Coral points32
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
24Total teleop42
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#12
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points12
52Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5684
#10
23.40.2
19.919.7
Auto5.8
Teleop11.3
End6.4
blue by 10.1
223
#6
33.50.2
31.631.8
Auto5.8
Teleop24.2
End3.5
Second
25
#15
21.60.3
18.918.5
Auto3.9
Teleop16.4
End1.3
blue by 5.2
293
#7
26.70.3
23.423.7
Auto7.8
Teleop16.1
End2.9
Third
15.60.2
16.616.3
Auto3.5
Teleop6.6
End5.6
red by 4.1
5624
#17
11.60.2
4.44.6
Auto2.0
Teleop9.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed