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Red53
249525.0
870710.8
219113.5
Blue26
543812.0
573213.5
48616.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605502040801001205326

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+27Teleop
+29Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
6Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +24
6Coral scored#5
23Coral points17
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
6Processor points0
12Net points0
18Algae points0
41Total teleop17
Reef
3L4#1
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#5
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points2
53Total score26

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2495
#14
25.00.3
28.127.8
Auto3.9
Teleop20.7
End0.4
red by 8.8
486
#23
16.13.2
18.915.7
Auto3.4
Teleop10.8
End1.9
Second
2191
#24
13.50.3
16.315.9
Auto4.4
Teleop6.5
End2.7
Level
5732
#27
13.53.2
15.212.1
Auto1.9
Teleop9.8
End1.7
Third
8707
#26
10.80.3
8.88.5
Auto1.5
Teleop7.5
End1.8
blue by 1.2
5438
#18
12.03.2
14.511.3
Auto2.6
Teleop7.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed