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Red112
566617.9
331451.7
75220.7
Blue79
192357.1
20422.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions828705010015020011279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+25Teleop
+37Endgame
+33Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points14
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +25
14Coral scored#9
51Coral points32
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#4
6Processor points0
16Net points16
22Algae points16
73Total teleop48
Reef
6L4#5
7L3#4
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#16
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points4
112Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.72.4
45.547.9
Auto13.3
Teleop30.7
End7.8
blue by 5.4
57.10.3
51.250.9
Auto18.4
Teleop38.6
End0.2
Second
752
#16
20.73.8
15.619.4
Auto6.1
Teleop11.7
End3.0
blue by 1.2
204
#8
22.00.3
20.920.6
Auto4.4
Teleop11.5
End6.1
Third
5666
#11
17.93.8
14.518.3
Auto3.4
Teleop13.0
End1.5
red by 12.7
5.20.3
7.16.8
Auto2.1
Teleop2.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed