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Red68
1017010.6
10222.4
568423.4
Blue63
910016.3
22333.5
871411.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53700204060801001206863

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+9Teleop
+7Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave3
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points9
18Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +3
10Coral scored#7
36Coral points25
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
46Total teleop43
Reef
5L4#3
2L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points2
68Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5684
#10
23.41.1
19.720.8
Auto5.8
Teleop11.3
End6.4
blue by 10.1
223
#6
33.50.2
31.831.6
Auto5.8
Teleop24.2
End3.5
Second
102
#13
22.41.6
18.219.8
Auto4.0
Teleop17.3
End1.1
red by 6.1
9100
#25
16.30.3
17.817.5
Auto2.9
Teleop10.5
End2.8
Third
10.61.1
10.411.6
Auto3.6
Teleop5.0
End2.0
blue by 1.2
8714
#20
11.80.2
11.611.4
Auto4.2
Teleop5.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed