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Red52
334015.6
219113.5
48616.1
Blue95
870710.8
2521.6
83443.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53710204060801001201405295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+31
Endgame+39
Fouls+43
AutonomousRed +2
3Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
12Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +33
8Coral scored#14
28Coral points51
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
32Total teleop65
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#4
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
2Foul points6
52Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
486
#23
16.10.7
15.715.0
Auto3.4
Teleop10.8
End1.9
blue by 27.1
834
#4
43.22.0
33.235.3
Auto11.4
Teleop23.9
End8.0
Second
15.60.5
16.315.9
Auto3.5
Teleop6.6
End5.6
blue by 5.9
25
#15
21.62.0
18.520.5
Auto3.9
Teleop16.4
End1.3
Third
2191
#24
13.50.7
15.915.3
Auto4.4
Teleop6.5
End2.7
red by 2.7
8707
#26
10.82.0
8.510.5
Auto1.5
Teleop7.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed61%Barge oddsEarned