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Red61
48616.1
22333.5
Blue54
10222.4
573213.5
870710.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions594502040801006154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+19
Endgame+17
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +22
6Coral scored#9
20Coral points32
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
24Total teleop46
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
24Foul points0
61Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
223
#6
33.51.1
31.630.5
Auto5.8
Teleop24.2
End3.5
red by 11.1
102
#13
22.41.1
19.820.9
Auto4.0
Teleop17.3
End1.1
Second
486
#23
16.11.4
15.013.6
Auto3.4
Teleop10.8
End1.9
red by 2.6
5732
#27
13.51.1
11.512.6
Auto1.9
Teleop9.8
End1.7
Third
5.21.1
6.45.3
Auto2.1
Teleop2.2
End0.9
blue by 5.6
8707
#26
10.81.1
10.511.6
Auto1.5
Teleop7.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed