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Red96
259052.2
2521.6
1017010.6
Blue33
219113.5
566617.9
568423.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8456020401001201409633

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+41Teleop
+51Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave9
4Coral scored#0
19Coral points0
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +31
10Coral scored#4
35Coral points14
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
49Total teleop18
Reef
5L4#1
4L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#5
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
12Foul points0
96Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.20.5
46.146.6
Auto12.0
Teleop31.8
End8.4
red by 28.8
5684
#10
23.41.4
20.819.4
Auto5.8
Teleop11.3
End6.4
Second
25
#15
21.60.6
20.521.2
Auto3.9
Teleop16.4
End1.3
red by 3.7
5666
#11
17.91.9
18.616.7
Auto3.4
Teleop13.0
End1.5
Third
10.60.5
10.310.8
Auto3.6
Teleop5.0
End2.0
blue by 2.9
2191
#24
13.51.9
15.313.3
Auto4.4
Teleop6.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsMissed