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Red60
689715.8
75220.7
29326.7
Blue76
562411.6
911617.8
83443.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions726102040801001201401606076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+12
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave3
4Coral scored#4
19Coral points20
19Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +8
8Coral scored#10
27Coral points37
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
0Processor points6
12Net points4
12Algae points10
39Total teleop47
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#5
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
60Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
293
#7
26.70.5
27.627.1
Auto7.8
Teleop16.1
End2.9
blue by 16.5
834
#4
43.21.6
35.336.8
Auto11.4
Teleop23.9
End8.0
Second
752
#16
20.70.5
21.621.1
Auto6.1
Teleop11.7
End3.0
red by 2.9
9116
#21
17.81.6
16.918.5
Auto4.7
Teleop11.9
End1.2
Third
6897
#19
15.80.5
16.315.8
Auto5.4
Teleop10.3
End0.2
red by 4.3
5624
#17
11.61.2
6.17.3
Auto2.0
Teleop9.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsMissed