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Red105
167645.3
331451.7
249525.0
Blue42
871411.8
8718.8
334015.6
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13741010015020010542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+73Teleop
+63Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave6
6Coral scored#1
31Coral points3
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +45
14Coral scored#4
50Coral points15
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
64Total teleop19
Reef
8L4#2
6L3#1
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
0Foul points0
105Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.71.0
50.749.7
Auto13.3
Teleop30.7
End7.8
red by 32.9
87
#22
18.80.5
16.315.9
Auto4.3
Teleop11.8
End2.7
Second
45.31.3
39.638.3
Auto11.7
Teleop30.0
End3.6
red by 29.6
15.60.5
15.915.4
Auto3.5
Teleop6.6
End5.6
Third
2495
#14
25.01.3
23.221.9
Auto3.9
Teleop20.7
End0.4
red by 13.1
8714
#20
11.80.5
11.411.0
Auto4.2
Teleop5.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsEarned