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Red122
192357.1
543812.0
22333.5
Blue56
20422.0
910016.3
219113.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11143010015012256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+68Teleop
+58Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave3
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points9
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +50
14Coral scored#7
52Coral points24
3Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
18Processor points0
12Net points8
30Algae points8
82Total teleop32
Reef
6L4#3
6L3#2
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +10
2Cage & park12
2Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +66
8Foul points0
122Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.10.9
52.453.4
Auto18.4
Teleop38.6
End0.2
red by 35.1
204
#8
22.00.0
20.820.8
Auto4.4
Teleop11.5
End6.1
Second
223
#6
33.50.9
30.531.4
Auto5.8
Teleop24.2
End3.5
red by 17.3
9100
#25
16.30.0
12.912.9
Auto2.9
Teleop10.5
End2.8
Third
5438
#18
12.01.2
9.510.7
Auto2.6
Teleop7.9
End1.5
blue by 1.5
2191
#24
13.50.0
13.313.3
Auto4.4
Teleop6.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed