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Red178
167645.3
48616.1
259052.2
Blue71
2521.6
331451.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1137820406010014016017871

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+77Teleop
+89Endgame
+107Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave9
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points14
33Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +67
21Coral scored#9
75Coral points32
2Processor algae#0
6Net algae#3
12Processor points0
24Net points12
36Algae points12
111Total teleop44
Reef
12L4#4
8L3#3
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
35Game pieces#15
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +107
18Foul points0
178Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.23.3
46.649.9
Auto12.0
Teleop31.8
End8.4
red by 0.5
51.71.0
49.748.7
Auto13.3
Teleop30.7
End7.8
Second
45.34.0
38.342.4
Auto11.7
Teleop30.0
End3.6
red by 23.7
25
#15
21.61.3
21.219.9
Auto3.9
Teleop16.4
End1.3
Third
486
#23
16.14.0
13.617.6
Auto3.4
Teleop10.8
End1.9
red by 10.9
5.21.0
5.34.3
Auto2.1
Teleop2.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned58%Barge oddsMissed