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Red106
8718.8
334015.6
192357.1
Blue48
1017010.6
75220.7
871411.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1074005015010648

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+46Teleop
+58Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
9Leave9
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points6
30Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +31
11Coral scored#6
40Coral points21
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
62Total teleop31
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#1
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#9
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
0Foul points0
106Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.11.1
53.454.4
Auto18.4
Teleop38.6
End0.2
red by 36.4
752
#16
20.70.1
21.121.1
Auto6.1
Teleop11.7
End3.0
Second
87
#22
18.81.1
15.916.9
Auto4.3
Teleop11.8
End2.7
red by 7.0
8714
#20
11.80.1
11.010.9
Auto4.2
Teleop5.9
End1.8
Third
15.61.1
15.416.5
Auto3.5
Teleop6.6
End5.6
red by 5.0
10.60.1
10.810.7
Auto3.6
Teleop5.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed