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Red54
29326.7
20422.0
573213.5
Blue111
83443.2
249525.0
10222.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6288020408010012014016054111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+65
Endgame+65
Fouls+57
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave0
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points20
16Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +61
3Coral scored#14
12Coral points49
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
0Processor points12
4Net points16
4Algae points28
16Total teleop77
Reef
2L4#6
2L3#4
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
7Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
8Foul points0
54Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
293
#7
26.71.2
27.125.9
Auto7.8
Teleop16.1
End2.9
blue by 16.5
834
#4
43.22.6
36.839.4
Auto11.4
Teleop23.9
End8.0
Second
204
#8
22.01.0
20.819.9
Auto4.4
Teleop11.5
End6.1
blue by 3.0
2495
#14
25.02.6
21.924.4
Auto3.9
Teleop20.7
End0.4
Third
5732
#27
13.51.2
12.611.4
Auto1.9
Teleop9.8
End1.7
blue by 8.9
102
#13
22.42.6
20.923.4
Auto4.0
Teleop17.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsEarned