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Red98
910016.3
562411.6
331451.7
Blue95
543812.0
219113.5
259052.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8181506070901001101209895

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+5Teleop
+7Endgame
+3Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points10
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +5
13Coral scored#10
48Coral points37
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
62Total teleop57
Reef
8L4#2
3L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
4Foul points8
98Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.71.0
48.749.7
Auto13.3
Teleop30.7
End7.8
blue by 0.5
52.20.3
49.950.2
Auto12.0
Teleop31.8
End8.4
Second
9100
#25
16.31.2
12.914.1
Auto2.9
Teleop10.5
End2.8
red by 2.7
2191
#24
13.50.4
13.313.7
Auto4.4
Teleop6.5
End2.7
Third
5624
#17
11.61.0
8.69.6
Auto2.0
Teleop9.1
End0.5
blue by 0.4
5438
#18
12.00.4
10.711.2
Auto2.6
Teleop7.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsEarned