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Red90
167645.3
543812.0
2521.6
Blue34
910016.3
1017010.6
870710.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92350501001509034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+54Teleop
+56Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave6
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +44
14Coral scored#4
52Coral points16
2Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
12Processor points0
4Net points8
16Algae points8
68Total teleop24
Reef
5L4#1
4L3#1
4L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#6
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points0
90Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.30.8
42.443.2
Auto11.7
Teleop30.0
End3.6
red by 29.0
9100
#25
16.30.6
14.113.5
Auto2.9
Teleop10.5
End2.8
Second
25
#15
21.60.8
19.920.7
Auto3.9
Teleop16.4
End1.3
red by 10.7
8707
#26
10.80.6
11.410.8
Auto1.5
Teleop7.5
End1.8
Third
5438
#18
12.00.8
11.212.0
Auto2.6
Teleop7.9
End1.5
red by 1.4
10.60.5
10.710.2
Auto3.6
Teleop5.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed