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Red89
83443.2
29326.7
Blue108
871411.8
249525.0
192357.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7610420406012014016018089108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+31
Endgame+17
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points24
27Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +28
9Coral scored#17
34Coral points62
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
48Total teleop76
Reef
3L4#5
6L3#7
2L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
17Game pieces#25
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points2
89Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#4
43.21.1
39.440.4
Auto11.4
Teleop23.9
End8.0
blue by 13.9
57.10.7
54.455.1
Auto18.4
Teleop38.6
End0.2
Second
293
#7
26.71.1
25.927.0
Auto7.8
Teleop16.1
End2.9
red by 1.8
2495
#14
25.00.8
24.425.2
Auto3.9
Teleop20.7
End0.4
Third
5.20.9
4.35.2
Auto2.1
Teleop2.2
End0.9
blue by 6.6
8714
#20
11.80.7
10.911.6
Auto4.2
Teleop5.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed