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Red34
75220.7
8718.8
Blue66
568423.4
83443.2
543812.0
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions388902060801001201401603466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+24
Endgame+32
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave0
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points16
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +20
3Coral scored#6
12Coral points22
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
16Total teleop36
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points0
34Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
752
#16
20.70.5
12.712.3
Auto6.1
Teleop11.7
End3.0
blue by 22.5
834
#4
43.20.9
30.829.9
Auto11.4
Teleop23.9
End8.0
Second
87
#22
18.80.3
15.315.0
Auto4.3
Teleop11.8
End2.7
blue by 4.6
5684
#10
23.40.6
19.418.9
Auto5.8
Teleop11.3
End6.4
Third
5.20.3
10.19.8
Auto2.1
Teleop2.2
End0.9
blue by 6.8
5438
#18
12.00.9
24.023.1
Auto2.6
Teleop7.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsEarned