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Red103
871411.8
1017010.6
331451.7
Blue68
562411.6
689715.8
167645.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63790204010012014016010368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+33Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points16
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +26
14Coral scored#9
50Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
74Total teleop48
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#3
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
103Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.72.3
37.539.8
Auto13.3
Teleop30.7
End7.8
red by 6.4
45.31.0
39.638.5
Auto11.7
Teleop30.0
End3.6
Second
8714
#20
11.82.3
11.914.2
Auto4.2
Teleop5.9
End1.8
blue by 4.0
6897
#19
15.81.0
20.419.4
Auto5.4
Teleop10.3
End0.2
Third
10.62.3
7.710.0
Auto3.6
Teleop5.0
End2.0
blue by 1.0
5624
#17
11.60.6
6.66.0
Auto2.0
Teleop9.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed