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Red107
29326.7
192357.1
566617.9
Blue61
48616.1
2521.6
910016.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10463020408012014016010761

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+36Teleop
+32Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave6
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +26
15Coral scored#10
53Coral points37
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
77Total teleop51
Reef
7L4#5
5L3#2
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
14Foul points0
107Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.10.8
47.546.7
Auto18.4
Teleop38.6
End0.2
red by 35.5
25
#15
21.62.0
22.120.1
Auto3.9
Teleop16.4
End1.3
Second
293
#7
26.71.4
24.723.3
Auto7.8
Teleop16.1
End2.9
red by 10.5
9100
#25
16.32.0
18.416.4
Auto2.9
Teleop10.5
End2.8
Third
5666
#11
17.91.4
18.316.9
Auto3.4
Teleop13.0
End1.5
red by 1.8
486
#23
16.12.0
20.718.7
Auto3.4
Teleop10.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsMissed