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Red46
75220.7
568423.4
10222.4
Blue56
543812.0
334015.6
249525.0
40%Model gave it60%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62682040801004656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+6
Endgame+6
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +12
5Coral scored#6
19Coral points21
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
23Total teleop35
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#0
7Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
2Foul points6
46Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5684
#10
23.40.9
18.918.0
Auto5.8
Teleop11.3
End6.4
blue by 1.5
2495
#14
25.01.5
25.023.5
Auto3.9
Teleop20.7
End0.4
Second
102
#13
22.41.5
26.725.1
Auto4.0
Teleop17.3
End1.1
red by 6.8
15.60.9
15.214.3
Auto3.5
Teleop6.6
End5.6
Third
752
#16
20.71.5
12.310.7
Auto6.1
Teleop11.7
End3.0
red by 8.8
5438
#18
12.01.5
23.121.7
Auto2.6
Teleop7.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed