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Red121
22333.5
910016.3
83443.2
Blue39
689715.8
75220.7
1017010.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10042015012139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+72Teleop
+84Endgame
+82Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave9
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points7
27Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +61
16Coral scored#3
56Coral points11
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#0
6Processor points6
16Net points0
22Algae points6
78Total teleop17
Reef
6L4#1
7L3#1
4L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#5
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +82
0Foul points2
121Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#4
43.20.8
40.741.5
Auto11.4
Teleop23.9
End8.0
red by 22.5
752
#16
20.70.2
21.020.7
Auto6.1
Teleop11.7
End3.0
Second
223
#6
33.50.8
31.031.8
Auto5.8
Teleop24.2
End3.5
red by 17.7
6897
#19
15.80.2
16.115.8
Auto5.4
Teleop10.3
End0.2
Third
9100
#25
16.30.8
13.714.5
Auto2.9
Teleop10.5
End2.8
red by 5.7
10.60.2
10.810.6
Auto3.6
Teleop5.0
End2.0